Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.299817 3.669585 4.070344 4.538035 5.070193 5.658400 6.359890
2025-04-13 2.624659 3.089362 3.627862 4.301746 5.127681 6.113609 7.389528
2025-04-20 2.304393 2.829082 3.468309 4.311986 5.407499 6.797434 8.719345
2025-04-27 2.108076 2.678251 3.401968 4.400383 5.761574 7.581294 10.247394
2025-05-04 1.955438 2.557573 3.349080 4.483590 6.097745 8.358174 11.847532
2025-05-11 1.819939 2.441059 3.282808 4.530678 6.374906 9.067975 13.428838
2025-05-18 1.702328 2.335080 3.216311 4.563078 6.623710 9.751353 15.047674
2025-05-25 1.554618 2.172442 3.052634 4.432594 6.606912 10.017973 16.022332
2025-06-01 1.448144 2.059753 2.950195 4.380960 6.700487 10.459045 17.333882
2025-06-08 1.360263 1.967055 2.868677 4.351501 6.821651 10.950910 18.791151
2025-06-15 1.325550 1.951136 2.901266 4.503703 7.253430 12.010385 21.425924
2025-06-22 1.256245 1.876445 2.835683 4.487896 7.394742 12.572220 23.193068
2025-06-29 1.185257 1.795940 2.757428 4.448223 7.497578 13.089528 24.982622
2025-07-06 1.082324 1.658019 2.576881 4.218750 7.237313 12.900266 25.292399
2025-07-13 1.034953 1.607093 2.535897 4.228996 7.417800 13.574977 27.547910
2025-07-20 1.005396 1.583295 2.538140 4.315436 7.749030 14.584851 30.716006
2025-07-27 0.977052 1.559446 2.538108 4.396762 8.077226 15.627200 34.145914
2025-08-03 0.944909 1.526933 2.520380 4.442780 8.338483 16.559158 37.481233
2025-08-10 0.912814 1.492423 2.496503 4.474442 8.572469 17.459445 40.906995
2025-08-17 0.859396 1.417467 2.395056 4.346925 8.459531 17.566215 42.270615
2025-08-24 0.820947 1.366960 2.335037 4.296462 8.505938 18.043679 44.727952
2025-08-31 0.788105 1.324735 2.287704 4.267669 8.596433 18.635548 47.623085
2025-09-07 0.780703 1.328201 2.325916 4.416419 9.097641 20.288318 53.970622